Why Baccarat Systems Do not Work? – by IC

Conventional baccarat gaming strategies usually don’t work because there are not that many ways to turn the game around and make it more profitable. You can either bet on a tie game, bet on your hand or bet on the dealer’s hand. Either way you look at it you get close to a 33% chance of success, which is not high but its still better than playing other casino games!

Certain effective strategies have been designed to beat these odds and get winning hand on this exciting game. Lets take a look at some of the game facts:

Baccarat is sometimes an intimidating game because it is played in a special, VIP or segregated rooms reserved for high rollers. But the fact is that this game could not be any less scary if it was only tried. Baccarat is a game of pure chance. The purpose of the game is to be able to guess and guess correctly if the player or the banker’s hand will come closest to a total of 9. Each card number 2 through 9 is set at the face value. The aces are one point, the Jack, Queens, and Kings are zero points and the tens are equivalent to zero as well. The hand which has the highest total will win. The highest total of any hand cannot be higher than 9. You may be thinking that, that is impossible but in the world of baccarat gambling anything is possible.

The game of baccarat can either be played with a table full of players or by yourself. One of the nicest characteristics of baccarat is with so many players strategically playing their hands, you have the chance to sit out and think about your next move or jump in and play every hand.

When playing alone, some casinos will let you to play both sides of the table if you are trying to watch for runs and are using charts to find patterns. If a casino refuses to let you play both sides of the table, then don’t play alone until another player joins the game.

Even though baccarat is fairly simple to learn and master, it is one of the more popular choices for high-rolling, VIP players. Online or virtual casinos offer a wide variety of baccarat betting limits but many actual casinos (Vegas, Tahoe, etc) only offer baccarat in high-minimum limits and, as previously pointed out, in a separated area from the main casino to offer the VIP players privacy.

In order to be successful in this game you need to come up with a logical and effective strategy otherwise you’ll be playing to either win 33% of the time or loose 66% of it.



About the Author:

Play Baccarat – a Simple, Fun Game, With Good Odds – by Sacha Tarkovsky

If you play baccarat you will be participating in a game that is easy to learn, is good fun and has surprisingly good odds.

Here we will look at the rules for playing baccarat and some strategies that will soon have you playing like a pro.

The goal when playing Baccarat is simply to draw a two or three card hand with a value closer to 9 than the banker’s hand.

The Value of the Cards

When you play baccarat the cards have the following values

• Numbered cards have their face value.

• 10, Jack, Queen and King count as 0.

• Ace counts as 1.

• If the value of your cards is more than ten, you subtract 10. So a 8-9 hand totals 7 (after subtracting 10 from 17)

Playing baccarat

Two hands are dealt one for the Banker and one for the Player. Before the deal, the player wagers on whether the Player’s hand or the Banker’s hand is closest to the total of 9. The player also has the option to wager on a tie i.e. both hands are of the same value

Baccarat is a card game that is dealt from a shoe that holds 6 or 8 decks. Before the hands are dealt, bets may be placed. Once bets have been placed, the banker hand and the player hand are dealt according to fixed rules, giving final hands of either two or three cards for each.

The value of a hand is determined by adding the values of its cards to get a total. Tens and face cards are counted as zero, while all other cards are counted by the number of “pips” on the card face.

Only the last digit of the total is used, so all baccarat hands have values in the range 0 to 9 inclusive. The hand with the higher value wins; if the hands have the same value, the result is of course a tie.

Sequence of play

When playing baccarat a game is started by dealing two cards for the player hand and two cards for the bank hand. An initial hand with a value of 8 or 9 is called a “natural.”

If either hand is a natural, its holder must expose it and the game is over.

If this does not occur play continues, first with the player hand and then with the banker hand, according to the following rules.

Rules for the player hand: If the player’s first two cards total 6 or more, then the player must stand without drawing a card. If the player’s first two cards total 5 or less, the player must draw one additional card.

Rules for the banker hand: If the banker’s first two cards total 7 or more, then the banker must stand without drawing a card. If the banker’s first two cards total 0, 1, or 2, then the banker must draw one card. If the banker’s first two cards total 3, 4, 5, or 6, then whether the banker draws is determined by the whether the player drew, and if so the value of the player’s draw card, as shown below.

Bets

Banker: 1- 1 (5% commission to the house)

Player: 1 -1

Tie: 8 -1

There is only one good bet in baccarat and that’s the banker.

When you play baccarat increase your chances of winning by:

1. Number of decks: Choose the game with as few decks as possible.

2. Commission: Look for the casino that charge a commission on banker bets lower than 5% if you can find one.

3. Bet on the banker. This bet has the lowest house edge and is the one to go for.

4. Money management. Work out the plan for the gaming session and follow it, don’t spend more money than you should chasing loses.

5. Don’t use baccarat systems. It is futile to base your gaming decisions on results of previous bets. Follow the above guidelines and when you play baccarat you will not only have fun, but also have a strategy that can increase your odds of success.



About the Author:

This article notes that there are plenty of baccarat systems around, but asks ‘do any of them work?’

Winning at Baccarat

A Low House Edge, Easy and Fun To Play!

by Sabrina Johnston 

If you are looking for a game with a low house edge and easy to play, then baccarat is a great game and playing is almost as easy as betting on the toss of a coin, making it a great game for novice gamblers.

To learn how to win at baccarat is easy and we will go through 5 tips to win in this article.

Before we look at a winning at baccarat strategy, lets dispel a couple of common myths that make many novice players lose.

Winning at baccarat – Patterns

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Looking for patterns in baccarat is as pointless as it is in roulette, they are both games of chance where the previous play never influences the next play.

This is a simple trap that many novice gamblers all around the world fall into when playing any game of chance.

If you were betting on the flip of a coin, and it landed heads up 9 times in a row many gamblers would say the chances of tails as a next land have increased, but of course they have not. The chances remain 50 -50 for the next toss

Winning at baccarat - Systems

Casinos give out cards where you can write down the games history, but this is really entertainment and wont increase the odds of success.

Finally, never buy a system for money the sales copy may sound good but by the nature of the game they can never work.

Winning at baccarat - Card counting

Card counting is usually associated with blackjack, as it can be quite an effective strategy when utilized correctly to put the odds in your favor over the long term.

It would then appear to be a good strategy in baccarat, as it works off a similar shoe.

The problem is though, the issue of used cards being fed back into the shoe before very many have been removed (thus negating any count a player had made).

Also, unlike blackjack baccarat does not offer opportunities to alter a bet in mid-hand play. Blackjack offers this in a number of situations, so you can increase your bet if your count changes during play.

Using card counting in baccarat though offers so few situations with an advantage against the house that this will not work.

The house edge & the best bet in baccarat

The house has an edge in baccarat, as in all, casino games but its a slim one, just 1.24% for bets on player and just 1.06% for bets on banker.

The odds of winning at baccarat are much better than many casino games such as roulette, video poker, slot machines and blackjack using basic strategy. The only game with a better odds bet is the craps odds bet at (0%).

Winning
at
baccarat means
you need to
use the
banker bet Winning at baccarat means you need to use the banker bet as its the bet with the best odds.

5 Tips for winning at baccarat

1. Number of decks: Choose the game with as few decks as possible.
2. Commission: Look for the casino that charge a commission on banker bets lower than 5% if you can find one.
3. Bet on the banker. This bet has the lowest house edge and is the one to go for.
4. Money management. Work out the plan for the gaming session and follow it, dont spend more money than you should chasing losses.
5. Dont use baccarat systems. It is futile to base your gaming decisions on results of previous bets.

There is only ONE good bet

There is only one good bet for winning at baccarat and you must use it frequently.

Use the banker bet the most, for variety you may want to bet on the player occasionally and never bet on the tie.

More casino winning tips and strategies & FREE e-books: If you want to learn more about winning at baccarat and winning tips, strategies and FREE e-books for all major casino games visit: http://www.net-planet.org/gaming.html

[tags]baccarat, baccarat tips, baccarat strategy, casinos, gambling[/tags] 

A review of various baccarat and craps gambling systems.

Testing Your Baccarat and Craps Systems

Developing a real winner!

by Erick St.Germain 

Any Baccarat or Craps System must consist of two parts:

1. a bet selection method and
2. a money management system.

Bet selection is defined as the process of selecting the winning decision (player or banker) in baccarat or (pass or dont pass) in craps. There are many methods favored by seasoned players. Some like to follow the shoe in baccarat or the roll in craps. By this we mean, the player bets the same as the preceeding decision. Another favorite method of picking which side to bet on is the decision before last. Pattern recognition entriques many players as they search for compelling patterns. Streak play has sponded many systems in the baccarat game. Baccarat Quotes… %%php_eval [code=randomize(quotes)]%%

Baccarat seems
to
hold out
the most hope
to the
mathematically inclined. Baccarat seems to hold out the most hope to the mathematically inclined. Since the game is played out of a shoe that is generally not reshuffled until a baccarat game has been concluded. The math types declare there is dependency in the baccarat game. Dependency means as the first half of the baccarat shoe is played it necessary determines the composition of the second half of the baccarat shoe. Therefore, we should be able to develop some edge over the house in the second part of the shoe since we already know which cards have been played in the first half of the shoe (of course we would have to keep track somehow to know this).

Card counting pioneered and used successfully in blackjack was attemped in baccarat. The result was slightly positive but very disappointing as the player advantage was very very slight. My advise on baccarat card counting; dont waste your time, it wont work. Other methods of extracting the 'dependency' from the baccarat game have been explored.

Dr. S.H. Johnson performed extensive computer research using large volumes of live baccarat data. He studied thousands of reoccuring patterns in relation to the dominence of the shoe (banker or player) at the time the pattern occurred. He was able to extract an advantage only slightly less than created by card counting in blackjack. Dr. Johnson reports the practical limitation of this baccarat strategy is the very infrequent occurence of betting opportunies. This strained the casinos patience when he set out two thirds of a shoe before placing his advantaged play. The play required very large bets and a large bankroll to generate a modest profit. The good doctor concluded the strategy was more of a moral victory that a practical solution to taking the advantage in the baccarat game.

Some players take a unique approach based on the continuity of numbers in a negative expectation game like the baccarat game or craps game. The continuity of numbers concept behind this approach proves out every time we analyze the data on the main frame computer. This is not to say the concept will give you the infallible gambling system. Here is the basic idea. Lets say we went to the casino with a group of researchers and we recorded every roll of the dice at the craps table 24 hours per day 7 days a week for 6 months.

That would amount to thousands of rolls of the dice. Just for discussion, lets say 6 months of continuous recording represents 650,000 rolls or decisions. Now, lets say a individual researcher lives to be 102 years old and for 80 years of his life he went to the casino every day of his life. Each day he recorded 10 minutes of craps rolls at the craps table (not even at the same table everyday!). Lets say for our little discussion, that the 80 years of 10 minutes a day produced the amount of decisions, the same 650,000 as the group of 24/7 researchers did in 6 months.

Baccarat Quotes... %%php_eval [code=randomize(quotes)]%%

Let us take both sets of data and enter into our computer. The computer will analyse the data against the mathematical model of the game. Well analyze the pattern distribution, the occurrence of numbers and all of the percentages. Well calculate the casinos advantage over the player (i.e. - pass line 1.42%, dont pass 1.40%, etc.). The computer churns for a few minutes and spits out the two reports; Report 1- the '24/7 for 6 months data' and Report 2- the '10 minute per day for 80 years data'. What do you think the differnce will be? NOTHING!! Thats right, the stats and numbers will be the same. Well, what can we learn from this?

As players we play only one big craps game and one big baccarat
game (if those are
your games) in our life. As players we play only one big craps game and one big baccarat game (if those are your games) in our life. You form a continuity of numbers that over the lifetime of your play will always attempt to conform to the morphology of the game or the mathematical distribution. At any given time various aspects (patterns and numbers) will be on a deviation from their normal mathematical distribution in the game. For example, let us say in our lifetime game we have played 1,000,000 hands of baccarat. We know because we recorded everyone of those suckers on scorecards and entered them into our computer after every play session. [the pros call this procedure 'cataloging their game'] Every night after entering his data, the player cranks up his trusty computer analysis program. A report is derived; he finds out for example, that patterns of seven bank decisions in row are 6 standard deviations behind in occurance in 'his game'.

The pro player has a coveted strategy for playing the deviations in his game. He knows the deviation IS going to come back to equipartition eventually. IT ALWAYS DOES, eventually! Dont run to the casino yet. The big question is how long absent will the pattern remain before starting to come back into the normal distribution model of the game? NO, I am not going to give you the answer. Something to think about, huh?

Its interesting, the player does not consider a game to be one shoe of baccarat or two hours of craps play but the entire continuity of all the decisions he has played. FACT: This is HIS game; the only game he can ever play. One could say, this shots the heck out of the idea we often hear... 'my system may not win over the long haul but I am only going to play a couple hours a day so that doesnt matter'. In these negative expectation casino games you cannot escape the continuity of numbers over an ever increasing exposure to the game.

Baccarat Quotes... %%php_eval [code=randomize(quotes)]%%

Billion dollar casinos are built every year on the impregnable morphology of these negative expectation games (reserving the dependency argument in baccarat and that strategy you may develop!) We suggest that you initiate your baccarat or craps system design and testing with a concentration on your bet selection methodology. By that I mean, as you test your strategy, use a flat bet or neutral money management. A flat bet means the bet is the same amount on every hand of baccarat or on every roll of the dice.

You cannot beat a negative expectation game with money management. Over the long haul your bet selection must produce more winning hands or rolls than losers. When the player accomplishes this, we say he has a positive expectation or a player advantage over the casino. When the player has the advantage almost any type of money management will work. However, lets repeat this again, if there is no player advantage on the bet selection, No money management system, no matter how clever it is will turn a negative expectation into a postive expectation.

Can we still play even though we dont have a positive advantage? YES! Its called gambling. When you have a player advantage it really isnt gambling is it? Most recreational players play without a player advantage. The system you play and how you manage your money are critical if you are to realize some nice winning sessions and not lose all your money everytime you go to the casino.

Actually you could be a lifetime winner without a player advantage if you went to the casino table, got on an incredible streak of luck (it does happen) pressed (progressed) your bets to the max. When you're $35K ahead you quit and never gamble again! Congratulations you just kicked the casinos butt! This is not going happen with most of us. We will be back! We better develop a system that is either advantaged or close to it and have a money manage system that limits our exposure to only a small percentage of our bankroll. Most professional gamblers use a percentage money management system.

These systems are based on extreme discipline and constant monitoring of ones bankroll. Only a predetermined percentage of the every changing bankroll is bet. Learn the game your play, learn the system you play and then learn discipline, then learn discipline, then learn discipline ..yeah its that important. If you cant learn to control your emotions you will self destruct at the gambling table. If you cant control your impulses and emotion, dont waste your time with gambling. You're embarking on a great challenge. Like anything else worth doing, you must pay your dues. Then and only then can you become one of the few real winners! Enjoy! Author - Erick St. Germain is an author and gambling consultant.

Erick produces system testers books and CDs and helps gamblers develop winning strategies. See his materials at http://www.zumma.com Erick St. Germain is an author, consult, and gambling system developer located in Plano, TX. Ericks writings have been featured in different magazines, books, and forums.

A look at card counting, pattern chasing and the Martingale system in Baccarat.

Basic Baccarat Strategy

by Ryan D.

Card Counting is one of those phony ideas published in baccarat strategy books. Card counting is most often associated with the game of blackjack – and is very effected, used correctly in the right casino. It could also seem to be of real worth in baccarat as the game does work off a comparable shoe. The issue that causes the problem is that of used cards be reintroduced into the shoe before very many have been taken out, thereby flummoxing any count made up to that point!

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Baccarat also, unlike Blackjack, does not allow the player the right to change his bet mid-hand in play. Blackjack allows this practice in a number of specific cases, and the player can increase his bet if his count changes during play. In baccarat, card counting presents very few situations with an advantage against the house that the actual overall labours are of no value to the player at all.

Baccarat
can
be considered
a very
elaborate coin
toss game. Baccarat can be considered a very elaborate coin toss game. This oversimplified impression of the game lures many players to using the Martingale based system of betting which entails doubling up on ones' bet each time a hand is lost. The Logic being that you eventually have to win, and the doubling will allow you to recoup all losses made from all the preceding hands! A perfect system indeed and one that actually can't be beaten in games like baccarat or roulette, and it is because of this that casinos issued new rules. The new rules limit how much a player can bet in 1 hand.

Casinos effectively got rid of the threat of the Martingale System gambler or player by setting Table maximums (and minimums). i.e. A player bets $5 on the banker and lost. Next bet, $10 on the banker, next bet $20, etc, and he continues to lose. Before long, his bet will have doubled up to a point that it will exceed the table maximum. In this case the player can't bet any higher and his system has failed, he must quit.

Baccarat Quotes... %%php_eval [code=randomize(quotes)]%%

The Martingale System is a horrific betting system The Martingale System is a horrific betting system that follows a human beings panic thinking - their natural thought pattern that somehow believes that if a coin lands heads up 9x in a row, there is a greater chance than 50% that it will land tails on the 10th flip! IT DOES NOT WORK!

So - if all these strategies and systems - card counting, pattern spotting, streak spotting etc are worthless strategies for baccarat - is there any good one? Well...practically and mathematically speaking... when you analyse the numbers, the odds do seem to always be in favour when a player bets on the banker, though this is a very boring tactic to play. Perhaps throw in some pattern chasing to break the tedium, or count the scorecards!

Card Counting is one of those phony ideas published in baccarat strategy books. Card counting is most often associated with the game of blackjack - and is very effected, used correctly in the right casino. It could also seem to be of real worth in baccarat as the game does work off a comparable shoe. The issue that causes the problem is that of used cards be reintroduced into the shoe before very many have been taken out, thereby flummoxing any count made up to that point!

Ryan D. has been involved in the online casino and online gambling industries for over 6 years as an operator, marketer and consultant. He can be contacted via his website at http://www.online-gambling-insider.com

[tags] card counting, baccarat, blackjack, martingale, pattern chasing[/tags]